Reading Time: 3 minutes MarketsFarm — After 2021’s historic drought on the Prairies caused crop production to fall to historic lows, the 2022 harvest has mostly bounced back to pre-drought levels, according to Statistics Canada. StatCan on Monday released its July 2022 satellite image-based principal field crop production estimates, which confirmed analysts’ expectations that this year’s crop production would […] Read more
Canadian crop production bounces back, StatCan reports
Wheat at higher end of trade projections
Greater crop production estimated prior to StatCan report
Extended time lag between survey, data's release criticized
Reading Time: 3 minutes MarketsFarm — Analysts are expecting Canadian crop production totals for the 2022-23 marketing year to be substantially higher compared to drought-stricken 2021-22, but still not enough to fully replenish supplies. Statistics Canada (StatCan) will publish its first satellite image model-based yield and production estimates for principal field crops on Monday. Traders and analysts are interested […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Time gap too large in StatCan report
Canola's potential yields shrank in meantime
Reading Time: 2 minutes MarketsFarm — There has been about a one-month gap in between Statistics Canada having gathered its data for next week’s principal crops report and actually releasing the report. That’s something trader Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg finds irksome. “They’re using computer models of some kind. You would think they could get this out […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola could take a nosedive
'I think (farmers) are undersold'
Reading Time: < 1 minute MarketsFarm — A huge drop in canola prices could be looming, according to analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain in Winnipeg. Palmer pointed to Prairie farmers and said, “I think they are undersold.” He surmised too many farmers have held off from selling their canola, in hopes of getting a great price the next time […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Late canola crop hinges on weather
Reading Time: < 1 minute MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market held within a narrow range during the week ended Wednesday, with weather conditions heading into harvest likely to dictate the eventual price direction over the next few weeks. “The key right now is the late state of the crop,” said Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications in Calgary, noting […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Weather at forefront for canola futures
Reading Time: < 1 minute MarketsFarm – Canola contracts on the ICE Futures platform saw some large moves over the past week, initially moving higher in sympathy with the United States soy complex before taking back most of those gains as both markets reacted to shifting weather forecasts. Showers continue to pop up across the U.S. Midwest, despite the longer-range […] Read more
Manitoba crops variable: report
Reading Time: < 1 minute MarketsFarm – Crop development was highly variable across Manitoba during the week ended Aug. 2 depending on localized rainfall and drainage, with fields in the southern growing areas of the province generally better than those to the north, according to the latest report from Manitoba Agriculture. Localized insect concerns were reported, with some spraying required. […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Upticks during a downturn not unusual
Reading Time: 2 minutes MarketsFarm – As prices fall back, an analyst said it’s very common for there to be occasional spike upwards, and that’s exactly what’s been happening to canola. “We’ve come down a long way and having a bit of a rally wouldn’t be unusual,” commented analyst David Derwin of PI Financial in Winnipeg, Man. “After we […] Read more
Speculative net short position grows in canola
Reading Time: < 1 minute MarketsFarm — The speculative net short position in ICE Futures canola grew during the week ended Tuesday, as fund traders liquidated long positions and opened some new shorts, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report compiled by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The net managed money short position in ICE Futures […] Read more
Saskatchewan crops advancing quickly
Reading Time: 2 minutes MarketsFarm — Hot and humid conditions saw crops in Saskatchewan advance quickly during the week ended Monday, according to the latest provincial crop report — although the humidity has slowed haying. When humidity is high, cutting hay becomes more challenging and hay that is cut does not dry down as quickly, which can result in […] Read more
A message from April Stewart, Country Guide's Associate Editor
