Prairie cash wheat: Falling Minneapolis futures weigh on Prairie bids

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Published: November 19, 2021

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MGEX December 2021 wheat (candlesticks) with 20- and 50-day moving averages (yellow and dark green lines). (Barchart)

MarketsFarm — A sharp drop in Minneapolis spring wheat futures weighed on cash wheat bids across the Prairies during the week ended Thursday, but declines in the Canadian dollar provided some support and helped temper losses somewhat.

Average Canada Western Red Spring (CWRS, 13.5 per cent protein) wheat prices were down by $7.60-$11.60 per tonne, according to price quotes from a cross-section of delivery points compiled by PDQ (Price and Data Quotes). Average prices ranged from about $439.80 per tonne in western Manitoba to as high as $459 per tonne in northern Alberta.

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Quoted basis levels varied from location to location and ranged from $66.20 to $85.40 per tonne above the futures when using the grain company methodology of quoting the basis as the difference between U.S. dollar-denominated futures and Canadian dollar cash bids.

When accounting for currency exchange rates by adjusting everything into Canadian dollars, CWRS basis levels ranged from $7.30 to $19.40 below the futures. That marked an improvement of about $1-$2 over the week, as the Canadian dollar lost nearly a cent relative to its U.S. counterpart.

The Canadian dollar closed at 79.4 U.S. cents on Nov. 18, down by 90 points relative to its U.S. counterpart.

Canada Prairie Red Spring (CPSR) wheat bids were mixed, losing as much as $11.30 per bushel in southwestern Saskatchewan while gaining 60 cents in southern Alberta. Prices ranged from $398.70 to $415.20 per tonne.

Average durum (CWAD) prices were steady, gaining 10-20 cents on the week. Bids ranged from $732.70 to $755.90 per tonne.

The December spring wheat contract in Minneapolis, off of which most CWRS contracts in Canada are based, was quoted Thursday at US$10.1675 per bushel , down by 38.75 U.S. cents from the previous week.

Kansas City hard red winter wheat futures, traded in Chicago, are more closely linked to CPSR in Canada. The December K.C. wheat contract was quoted Thursday at US$8.2725 per bushel, down two U.S. cents compared to the previous week.

The December Chicago Board of Trade soft wheat contract settled Thursday at US$8.20 per bushel, up 6.5 U.S. cents on the week.

— Phil Franz-Warkentin reports for MarketsFarm from Winnipeg.

About The Author

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Editor - Daily News

Phil Franz-Warkentin grew up on an acreage in southern Manitoba and has reported on agriculture for over 20 years. Based in Winnipeg, his writing has appeared in publications across Canada and internationally. Phil is a trusted voice on the Prairie radio waves providing daily futures market updates. In his spare time, Phil enjoys playing music and making art.

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