ICE weekly outlook: Canola still rangebound on charts

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Published: December 23, 2015

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(Dave Bedard photo)

CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola contracts broke above major resistance levels this week, hitting levels not seen since August.

However, as they say, what comes up must come down — and prices were well off of those highs by Tuesday’s close, bringing the market back within its long-standing trading range.

The most active March contract climbed as high as $493.20 per tonne at one point on Tuesday, seeing some follow-through strength after breaking above the psychological $490 level the previous day.

However, just as the stagnant technical outlook started to shift higher, the floor gave way and the contract dropped sharply to settle at $484.10.

The daily high likely marks a new upside target, while nearby support comes in at around $481 per tonne. The 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages are all converging around the $481 per tonne level.

Beyond that, the next downside target comes in at around $468-$470 per tonne.

Phil Franz-Warkentin writes for Commodity News Service Canada, a Winnipeg company specializing in grain and commodity market reporting.

About The Author

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Editor - Daily News

Phil Franz-Warkentin grew up on an acreage in southern Manitoba and has reported on agriculture for over 20 years. Based in Winnipeg, his writing has appeared in publications across Canada and internationally. Phil is a trusted voice on the Prairie radio waves providing daily futures market updates. In his spare time, Phil enjoys playing music and making art.

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