Paris/Hamburg | Reuters — European Union barley exports could reach a 10-year high this season as brisk feed demand overseas and reduced competition from the Black Sea region help the EU to shift a large harvest.
The rush of demand for European feed barley has provided relief for producers struggling with low prices in a heavily supplied global grain market.
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Reversing the usual price structure, feed barley is attracting better prices than milling wheat and similar rates to malting barley, used for beer ingredient malt.
“It’s a strange place for the market,” said Brent Atthill, head of consultancy RMI Analytics, citing a “perfect storm” of strong feed demand in the Middle East and China, limited availability of Black Sea barley and weak brewing demand in Europe.
The European Commission increased its monthly forecast of EU barley exports in 2025/26 by nine per cent last week to 11 million metric tons, which would be the highest since 2015/16.
In France, early-season shipments to China have been followed by steady demand from North Africa and the Middle East. Loadings include a rare cargo for Turkey, LSEG data shows.
Feed barley likely to revert to cheaper grain
Turkey’s switch this season from barley exporter to importer has contributed to market tensions. The country is due to hold an import tender next Wednesday.
An import purchase by Algeria this week could also yield more EU sales, with German and Polish supplies seen in contention, a German trader said. Algeria has not bought French grain since 2024 because of diplomatic tensions.
German barley shipments so far this year include about 30,000 tons for Algeria, 60,000 tons for Saudi Arabia and 8,000 tons for Iraq, another trader said.
“Both Germany and France have made large export shipments of barley so far this year and I expect more to be on the way,” the second trader said.
The export window for western European barley could soon close, however. Supplies in France are tightening while crops from southern hemisphere harvests boost options for importers.
Forward prices for the 2026 harvest suggest feed barley will revert to its role as a cheaper grain, with double-digit discounts compared with malting barley and milling wheat, traders and analysts added.
