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ICE canola weekly outlook: Market in search of demand

Farmers holding large amounts of unpriced canola waiting for future to move upward, analyst says

Reading Time: < 1 minute A modest attempt at correcting higher was met by stiff resistance in the ICE Futures canola market, with a general downtrend still intact as the futures work to uncover some demand.

(GrainsConnect.com)

USDA raises U.S. carryout, tightens Brazilian production

World wheat carryout estimate downgraded, but well above previous year

Reading Time: 2 minutes Projected ending stocks of soybeans, corn and wheat in the United States were raised slightly higher in the latest supply/demand estimates from the United States Department of Agriculture, while production estimates for Brazil were revised lower.


Grain bins in a Saskatchewan field. (MysticEnergy/iStock/Getty Images)

Less Canadian wheat, more canola on hand to end 2023: StatCan

Some had anticipated even larger on-farm canola stocks, given slower export pace

Reading Time: 2 minutes Canadian wheat stocks at the end of 2023 were considerably tighter compared to the previous year, with oats, corn and pulse crops also seeing supply reductions, according to the latest stocks report from Statistics Canada, released Feb. 8, 2024. However, canola, barley and soybean stocks as of Dec. 31, 2023, were higher compared to the previous year.

 Photo: Greg Berg

Funds still sitting on large net short position in canola

Soybeans' net short position increased by about 5,000 contracts

Reading Time: < 1 minute The large net short position in canola futures held relatively steady during the week ended Jan. 30, with speculative traders making only minor adjustments, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).



A ship is docked for unloading at G3’s St. Lawrence River terminal at Trois-Rivieres, Que. (G3.ca)

St. Lawrence Seaway sees increased tonnage in 2023

The seaway saw the longest scheduled shipping season in history

Reading Time: < 1 minute Cargo movement through the St. Lawrence Seaway was up by more than 3.4 per cent in 2023 compared to the previous year, with nearly 38 million tonnes of cargo moved through the binational system, according to a joint report from the Canadian St. Lawrence Seaway Management Corporation (SLMC) and the United States Great Lakes St. Lawrence Development Corporation (GLS).


Warm seasonal outlook across country

Warm seasonal outlook across country

Precipitation expected to be normal across most of Canada

Reading Time: < 1 minute Warmer than normal temperatures are expected to continue across all of Canada through the next three months, according to the latest long-range seasonal forecast from Environment and Climate Change Canada, released Jan. 31.