Shares of Hellmann’s mayonnaise owner Unilever and Frank’s RedHot sauce maker McCormick fell on Tuesday following the announcement over concerns about the transaction’s structure, long path to closing and antitrust risks.

The top U.S. spice maker, home to more than 30 household brands, is playing the long game, some analysts said.

While many food companies are scrambling to reformulate products and resize portions as the surging popularity of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs reshapes eating habits, McCormick argues that flavor will remain essential even as calorie counts fall.

“We will continue to flavor calories while others compete for them,” McCormick CEO Brendan Foley, a packaged-food industry veteran, said on a call with investors on Tuesday.

“As consumers increasingly focus on cooking at home, adding more protein and produce, and pursuing healthier lifestyles, flavor plays a critical role in elevating those choices,” Foley said.

The GLP-1 bet

The surge in weight-loss drug use has consumers craving more flavor ‌in their food, leading to condiment and spice makers benefiting and attracting more interest in the M&A marketplace, dealmakers have said.

“Consumers shifting away from fatty, greasy, or overly sweet foods … creates a massive opportunity for flavor enhancers (spices and hot sauces) that provide sensory satisfaction without adding calories,” said Timothy Malefyt, professor of marketing at the Gabelli School of Business at Fordham University.

The deal will also help the U.S. company tap into Knorr stock cubes maker Unilever’s global scale and expertise, executives said on Tuesday’s investor call. Unilever executives highlighted its popular flavors such as Asian and Chinese.

“McCormick with this could be well-positioned to create the right nutritional functional benefit in food that is lacking in America right now,” said Mike Anstey, founder of Pilot Lite, a global CPG (consumer packaged goods) commercialization partner.

It would also open up key emerging markets such as Brazil, China and countries across Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA).

“(The deal) represents a step-change in scale, broadening MKC’s exposure to faster-growing emerging markets and expanding opportunities for its foodservice platform,” Jefferies analyst Scott Marks said in a note.

Unkind market conditions

McCormick is seeking new markets and flavors against the backdrop of a tough U.S. market, where consumers are eating healthier and also looking for cheaper pantry alternatives and smaller pack sizes to stretch budgets hit by inflation.

“We’re certainly aware of the near-term pressures facing not just the food industry but broadly … the conflict in the Middle East and the broader CPG space. However, we continue to believe in just the long-term fundamentals that really underpin the confidence in this combination,” McCormick’s Foley said.

The company’s total volume growth has slowed over the last year, and was down 0.7 per cent in the most recently reported quarter, falling across both its consumer brands and flavor solutions segments.

“Despite the combination’s strategic merits, we think this may be a ploy to incite growth in an industry where gains have stagnated,” said Erin Lash, analyst at Morningstar Research.

Rival Kraft Heinz, which media reports said had explored a bid for Unilever’s food business, underscored the tougher U.S. market when it paused plans for a split.

“Investors should look at this transaction more optimistically than broken deals like Kraft Heinz because it creates value through greater depth in a single category, flavorings, rather than diversification,” said TD Cowen analyst Robert Moskow in a note.

The post McCormick bets on flavor in $65 billion Unilever merger appeared first on Country Guide.

The 2026 FCC Food and Beverage Report states sales among food and beverage manufacturers are predicted to rise by 0.8 per cent while volumes fall by 0.7 per cent, the fourth straight year of decline. It notes sales growth will likely be driven by higher prices, not higher consumption.

WHY IT MATTERS: With trade tensions still disrupting global supply, prices could fluctuate this year, affecting consumers’ choices.

FCC chief economist Craig Johnston said this disparity speaks to the issue of consumer purchasing power.

“Higher food prices over the past several years are really weighing on households’ budgets,” he said in an interview. “They’re making more cost-conscious decisions.”

“This is actually a headwind for consumption and a headwind for volumes.”

He said any upstream changes will no doubt filter down to Canadian producers. Some challenges are shared across sectors.

“When we think about common elements, you can think about the tariffs, the elevated input costs, generally,” he said.

Margins are tight across the sector, including for farmers.

“We’re not seeing massive improvements on margins within the food and beverage manufacturing sector to pre-COVID levels, and we’re not necessarily seeing that filter through to a broad-based increase in margins for primary ag.”

“The industry in general is still going through this adjustment period” he said, “and we do expect that to continue to 2026.”

Trade tensions still a factor

Canada will continue to grapple with trade uncertainty this year, including the recent instability caused by the conflict in the Middle East.

Forecasts for costs of goods in the Food and Beverage Report were made before the crisis, “meaning that if the commodity price surge persists beyond just a few months, there would be upside risks to those estimates.”

FCC had expected pressures on some inputs, such as cattle and hogs, to ease from 2025 highs, but surging energy prices due to the conflict make that less likely.

Costs of production up

Production costs for food and beverage manufacturers increased by two per cent in 2025, driven mostly by raw material costs.

“The increase in raw material costs was driven by disruptions that constrained availability and raised prices,” the report states.

“Some examples from 2025 include avian influenza impacts on poultry … tariffs that increased the cost of imported aluminum packaging and historically low cattle herd sizes across North America.”

Costs across sectors

The report also breaks down costs associated with sub-sectors of food and beverage processing.

In grain and oilseed milling, sales were uneven in 2025 but improved by the fourth quarter. 2026 shows signs of a rebound in sales and volumes.

Large carryover of canola stocks is expected to keep prices under pressure in 2026. Canola prices are expected to fall by 3.1 per cent in 2026.

The report suggested demand for Canadian maple syrup and honey has continued to increase in the global market.

In the dairy sector, 2026 will likely see a 3.6 per cent increase of product manufacturing sales over 2025. Processors are also expected to pass along costs from the producer price increase for unprocessed milk to consumers.

In the meat manufacturing sector, FCC forecasts sales up 1.6 per cent and volumes down by 5.6 per cent.

Tight supplies of live animals, due largely to disease outbreaks, drove prices up in 2025. According to the report, “2026 will likely see another year where price, not volume, drives sales upward.”

The post Food and beverage sales growth, volume decline predicted for 2026 appeared first on Country Guide.

Such a move would mark an acceleration of efforts to reshape Unilever. More than one Unilever CEO has tried to refocus the company’s portfolio by expanding in personal care and beauty, and selling some food brands.

The food business came under the spotlight again when the Financial Times reported that Unilever might spin it off, and had held merger talks with Kraft Heinz, which ended.

Unilever’s shares, which were higher in early trade on Friday, had fallen to their lowest since July last year as investors and analysts worried that CEO Fernando Fernandez could be distracted from the day-to-day running of Unilever by the potential separation. And they questioned ‌the benefits of such an action so soon after Unilever’s protracted ice cream unit split.

How much is Unilever’s food business worth?

Unilever’s packaged food business accounts for more than a quarter of group sales, but faces pressures from a shift away from ultra‑processed products, competition from private label brands, and softer demand as the rise of weight‑loss drugs changes consumer buying habits.

Home to Knorr bouillon powders and Hellmann’s condiments, the division’s underlying operating margin – which excludes the impact of foreign currency exchange rates – was 22.6 per cent of revenue, outstripping the group’s 20 per cent margin last year.

The food business, which also makes Marmite spreads, reported an operating profit of 2.9 billion euros (C$4.6 billion) last year, giving it an enterprise value of roughly 30 billion euros (C$47.6 billion), according to Barclays estimates.

Slower to grow compared with the rest

The business, Unilever’s second largest by sales after personal care, grew at 2.5 per cent last year, more slowly than the rest of the group and well below the company’s own mid-term goal.

Underlying sales growth at Unilever’s foods division has lagged that of other units since the COVID-19 pandemic highs, repeatedly falling short of the company’s annual goal of sales growth of between four and six per cent.

Analysts and investors question the long-term prospects of the packaged food industry when politicians, including U.S. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr, have highlighted the potential health risks of processed foods.

Developed markets have reached saturation

Part of the problem is that the business is operating in two contexts: developed and emerging markets. Unilever’s food business is growing more slowly in North America and Europe than in countries such as India and parts of Latin America, where the group has a stronghold in food and private label products are less sophisticated, meaning they offer less competition.

“There is more growth in emerging markets, which accounts for 55 per cent of food for Unilever, but it’s still not enough to make up for Europe and the U.S. where the market is saturated,” Barclays analyst Warren Ackerman said.

The post Unilever in talks with McCormick & Company as it seeks to sell food business appeared first on Country Guide.

Excluding the effect of indirect taxes, the Consumer Price Index rose 1.9 per cent year-over-year in February, it said.

The inflation data for March will be the final month affected by the base-year effect of the sales tax break. But rising crude oil prices as a result of the Iran war are likely to change inflation expectations.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected inflation to fall to 1.9 per cent year-over-year in February from 2.3 per cent in January, and 0.7 per cent month-over-month compared with no change in the prior month.

On a monthly basis consumer prices rose by 0.5 per cent in February, StatsCan said.

Bank of Canada to decide rates Wednesday

The Bank of Canada has held its key policy rate at 2.25 per cent since October, as inflation stabilized around its two per cent target within a one to three per cent control range.

The BoC will give some indication of inflationary pressures at its policy decision on Wednesday.

“The tame (CPI) report will be welcomed by policymakers ahead of the energy price shock, as it shows that labour market slack is keeping a lid on core prices, with the issue for the BoC being how long the oil price shock lasts for and its magnitude,” Katherine Judge, senior economist at CIBC Capital Markets, wrote in a note.

Food prices ongoing pain point

Despite the base year effect, food prices in February rose by 5.4 per cent on an annual basis as food purchased at restaurants increased by 7.8 per cent last month.

Food prices have remained a major pressure point for Canadian households, as grocery prices have risen faster than overall inflation due to factors like U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs, bad weather conditions and supply chain issues.

Grocery prices rose 4.1 per cent in February after a 4.8 per cent rise observed in January, and the statistics agency said they have risen by 30 per cent in the last five years.

Gasoline prices decelerated by 14.2 per cent in February due to the continued impact of the removal of a carbon tax on the fuel, which reduced the year-over-year price. This impact will stay until April, StatsCan said.

Shelter costs – the largest component of the CPI basket with a weight of roughly 29 per cent – rose at a slower pace of 1.5 per cent in February as mortgage costs continued to ease. Rent costs rose 3.9 per cent on an annual basis in February.

Economists and the Bank of Canada closely watch core measures of inflation to gauge underlying price pressures.

The CPI-median, the centermost component of the CPI basket, was 2.3 per cent, while CPI-trim, which excludes the most extreme price changes, was also at 2.3 per cent.

The Canadian dollar firmed and was trading up 0.28 per cent to $1.3679 against the U.S. dollar, or 73.10 U.S. cents. Yields on two-year government bonds fell 6.5 basis points to 2.731 per cent.

The post Canada’s annual inflation rate eases to 1.8 per cent in February ahead of expected energy shock appeared first on Country Guide.

New Delhi and Ottawa hope to increase bilateral trade to US$50 billion by 2030, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said during a joint media appearance with Carney, from nearly US$9 billion (C12.3 billion) in 2024-25.

WHY IT MATTERS: India is a key market for Canadian pulses, particularly lentils, and also imports other goods like packaged foods. However, Canadian farmers have faced tariffs on pulse exports to that country.

The two sides have agreed to the terms of reference on a comprehensive economic partnership, the Indian foreign ministry added.

Pulse protein centre of excellence

In a joint statement, Carney and Modi “highlighted expanding opportunities for collaboration in agri-technology, research, and value-added food production, and agreed that deeper agricultural partnership will advance sustainable farming practices, nutrition security, and mutually beneficial trade and investment.”

They welcomed a proposal to create a “Canada–India Pulse Protein Centre of Excellence” at India’s National Institute of Food Technology Entrepreneurship and Management (NIFTEM) Kundli. The aim of the centre would include collaboration on research, advancing pulse protein processing and strengthening ties between academia and industry in the two countries.

Carney and Modi “noted the complementary strengths of the Province of Saskatchewan as a global leader in pulse production and innovation, and India as the world’s largest producer and consumer of pulses,” the statement said.

Uranium deal

They also agreed on a C$2.6 billion uranium deal and will work on building small modular nuclear reactors and advanced reactors, both sides said. “In civil nuclear energy, we have concluded a landmark deal for the long-term supply of uranium,” Modi said.

The Indian government and Canada’s Cameco have signed a uranium supply agreement to support India’s nuclear ambitions and to work towards a clean, reliable base load power, Carney added.

Relations between India and Canada deteriorated sharply in 2023 after then Prime Minister Justin Trudeau alleged Indian involvement in the killing of a Canadian Sikh separatist, accusations New Delhi rejected as “absurd”.

The dispute deepened and led to expulsions of diplomats and freezing of trade negotiations.

Carney’s four day India visit is aimed at resetting ties, as both countries look to diversify trade away from the United States due to tariff announcements and deepen cooperation in areas such as clean energy, critical minerals and agricultural value chains.

India sealed a free‑trade pact with the European Union in January, while it recently paused negotiations with the United States on a proposed deal, hoping to resume once there is greater clarity following the invalidation of President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

–Reporting by Sakshi Dayal, Shivangi Acharya and Shilpa Jamkhandikar, with files from Glacier FarmMedia.

The post India, Canada aim for trade pact by year-end, propose pulse protein ‘centre of excellence’ appeared first on Country Guide.

Protein Industries Canada has committed $1.3 million to these projects through its Strengthening the Canadian Supply Chain program the organization said in a Feb. 25 news release. The companies will collectively chip in about $400,000.

The projects announced are:

• Fresh Hemp Foods in Manitoba will develop a dry fractionated flax protein powder for business to business and consumer sales.
• Ontario-based 1847 Stone Milling will develop and commercialize a Canadian-grown, high-protein Atta flour. Atta is a finely-milled flour often used in Indian and South Asian cuisine. Atta flour is largely imported in Canada, Protein Industries Canada said.
• Yofiit Inc., based in Ontario, is developing a high-protein drinkable yogurt incorporating flax, oats and legumes.
• MeeT Restaurants in B.C. is developing a plant-based burger to feature in its restaurants and for online sales in order to switch to a product made of Canadian ingredients.
• Farmery Estate Brewery in Manitoba will upcycle spent brewer’s grains into a protein-rich beverage base and ingredient.
• Henry’s Tempeh in Ontario is scaling production of marinated tempeh made with Canadian organic soybeans.
• HealX Vitals in Ontario is developing ProteinFries, a high-protein frozen fry using Canadian pulses and grains.
• Trueleaf Petcare, based in B.C., is developing and scaling cold-formed dental sticks for dogs using Canadian ingredients.
• Grazy, based in Quebec, is reformulating its frozen dessert and beverage lines using Canadian pea and fava bean protein.

The post Protein Industries Canada funds nine food processing projects across Canada appeared first on Country Guide.

Still-high inflation and rising cost-of-living has led Canadian consumers to try and tighten household budgets and save money, impacting their discretionary spending.

Quarterly same-store sales at Loblaw’s drug retail rose 3.9 per cent from a year ago, while in food retail segment they increased by 1.5 per cent.

However, sales in Canada in December saw a brief bump up due to the holiday season, as consumers increased their spending on food and beverages. Demand for value deals helped Loblaw’s discount banners such as No Frills and Maxi.

The company’s revenue came in at C$16.38 billion for the quarter ended January 3, compared with analysts’ estimates of $16.77 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

On an adjusted basis, Loblaw earned 67 cents per share in the reported quarter, slightly ahead of estimates of 66 cents.

Loblaw expects annual adjusted net earnings per share to grow in the high single-digits, compared with analysts’ expectations of a 7.9 per cent rise to $2.61.

— Reporting by Koyena Das in Bengaluru

The post Canada’s Loblaw misses fourth-quarter revenue estimates appeared first on Country Guide.

Sales were down in three of the nine subsectors with the building materials category and furniture, electronics and appliances retailers category also reporting a drop in sales. Sales at fuel pumps helped offset some of the fall, StatsCan said.

In volume terms, retail sales were unchanged in December.

WHY IT MATTERS: Retail sales, which include domestic sales of cars, furniture, food and gasoline, are considered an early indicator of gross domestic product growth and contribute around 40 per cent to total consumer spending.

Core retail sales, which exclude gasoline stations and fuel vendors and the motor vehicle and parts dealers, were down 0.3 per cent in December.

The motor vehicles and parts dealers’ category, which accounts for over a fourth of total retail sales, fell by 1.6 per cent to $18.71 billion.

The second biggest contributor to retail sales is the food and beverage retailer category. Sales were unchanged in December in this subsector.

Building materials dropped by four per cent and the furniture and appliances category registered a 1.7 per cent month-on-month drop.

In January, sales were likely up 1.5 per cent but this number is likely to be updated next month, the agency said in a flash estimate.

— Reporting by Promit Mukherjee and Dale Smith

The post Canada December retail sales down 0.4 per cent; seen up 1.5 per cent in January appeared first on Country Guide.

The tariff will be “over and above our normal tariffs already being charged,” Trump said in a media briefing.

“The Supreme Court did not overrule tariffs. They merely overruled a particular use of IEEPA for tariffs.”

Trump said his administration would also launch several investigations “to protect our country from unfair trading practices of other countries and companies.”

WHY IT MATTERS: While Canadian agricultural goods largely escaped tariffs under the CUSMA trade agreement, U.S. President Donald Trump’s on-again, off-again tariffs created significant uncertainty.

Trump signed an executive order later Friday imposing a 10 per cent ad valorem tariff to take effect on articles imported into the U.S. starting Tuesday (Feb. 24).

Section 122 allows the president to impose duties up to 15 per cent or quotas for up to 150 days, the Retail Industry Leaders Association explained in a post.

“Specifically, Section 122 allows the President to impose duties of up to 15 per cent or quotas for up to 150 days on imports from all countries, or selectively against countries that maintain unjustifiable or unreasonable restrictions on U.S. commerce.”

The new 10 per cent tariff will not be imposed on any CUSMA-compliant “goods of Canada and Mexico,” the White House said in a fact sheet later Friday.

Nor will it be imposed on “certain agricultural products, including beef, tomatoes, and oranges.”

Other imports exempt from the new tariff will include “natural resources and fertilizers that cannot be grown, mined, or otherwise produced in the United States or grown, mined, or otherwise produced in sufficient quantities to meet domestic demand” as well as “certain critical minerals, metals used in currency and bullion, energy and energy products.”

Among other specific goods, pharmaceuticals and electronics, it will also not apply to “passenger vehicles, certain light trucks, certain medium and heavy-duty vehicles, buses, and certain parts of passenger vehicles, light trucks, heavy-duty vehicles and buses.”

Trump on Friday separately announced the continued suspension, first imposed on Feb. 1 last year, of duty-free de minimis treatment for low-value shipments, including goods shipped through the international postal system. Those goods will also be subject to the new 10 per cent tariff.

In a separate social media post Saturday (Feb. 21), Trump said he would instead set his new Section 122 tariff “effective immediately” at “the fully allowed, and legally tested, 15 per cent level,” but as of Sunday (Feb. 22) had not yet issued a new or updated proclamation or executive order to that effect.

Canadian groups react

Canadian Federation of Agriculture president Keith Currie told Glacier FarmMedia in a text that he hoped the Supreme Court’s decision would bring back some stability to cross-border trade. However, he noted that we’d have to wait and see what other tools the Trump administration utilizes.

“Obviously this court decision supports what we’ve been saying about the tariffs not being justified,” Currie said.

“Today’s Supreme Court ruling that the IEEPA tariffs are unlawful is welcome news for equipment manufacturers, which have spent the last year navigating higher input costs and mounting trade uncertainty,” said Kip Eideberg, senior vice-president of industry and government relations for the Association of Equipment Manufacturers, in a statement.

“What equipment manufacturers need most is certainty so they can make long-term decisions that benefit their workers, their customers, and the broader economy.”

Following Trump’s vow to impose other tariffs, the Association of Equipment Manufacturers reiterated equipment manufacturers’ need for certainty while making longterm decisions.

The justices, in a 6-3 ruling authored by conservative Chief Justice John Roberts, upheld a lower court’s decision that the Republican president’s use of this 1977 law exceeded his authority.

Trump says he’s “ashamed” of SCOTUS members

Trump, in comments at the White House, condemned the ruling as “terrible” and lashed out at the six justices who ruled against him.

“I’m ashamed of certain members of the court – absolutely ashamed – for not having the courage to do what’s right for our country,” Trump said.

Trump has leveraged tariffs – taxes on imported goods – as a key economic and foreign policy tool.

“Our task today is to decide only whether the power to “regulate … importation,” as granted to the president in IEEPA, embraces the power to impose tariffs. It does not,” Roberts wrote in the ruling, quoting the statute’s text that Trump claimed had justified his sweeping tariffs.

The U.S. Constitution grants Congress, not the president, the authority to issue taxes and tariffs.

Tariffs have been central to a global trade war that Trump initiated after he began his second term as president, one that has alienated trading partners, affected financial markets and caused global economic uncertainty.

Trump has called his tariffs vital for U.S. economic security, predicting that the country would be defenseless and ruined without them.

“Foreign countries that have been ripping us off for years are ecstatic,” Trump said on Friday. “They’re so happy, and they’re dancing in the streets, but they won’t be dancing for long that, I can assure you.”

The Supreme Court, which has a 6-3 conservative majority, had allowed Trump’s expansive exertion of presidential powers in other areas in a series of rulings issued on an emergency basis, and Friday’s ruling represented the biggest setback it has dealt him since he returned to office in January 2025.

“It’s my opinion that the court has been swayed by foreign interests and a political movement that is far smaller than people would ever think,” Trump said.

“He cannot”

Roberts, citing a prior Supreme Court ruling, wrote that “the president must ‘point to clear congressional authorization’ to justify his extraordinary assertion of the power to impose tariffs,” adding: “He cannot.”

Trump has leveraged tariffs – taxes on imported goods – as a key economic and foreign policy tool. They have been central to a global trade war that Trump initiated after he began his second term as president, one that has alienated trading partners, affected financial markets and caused global economic uncertainty.

The Supreme Court reached its conclusion in a legal challenge by businesses affected by the tariffs and 12 U.S. states, most of them Democratic-governed, against Trump’s unprecedented use of this law to unilaterally impose the import taxes.

Trump’s tariffs were forecast to generate over the next decade trillions of dollars in revenue for the United States, which possesses the world’s largest economy.

Tariffs will likely need to be refunded

Trump’s administration has not provided tariffs collection data since December 14. But Penn-Wharton Budget Model economists estimated on Friday that the amount collected in Trump’s tariffs based on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act stood at more than $175 billion (C$239.4 billion). And that amount likely would need to be refunded with a Supreme Court ruling against the IEEPA-based tariffs.

The U.S. Constitution grants Congress, not the president, the authority to issue taxes and tariffs. But Trump instead turned to a statutory authority by invoking IEEPA to impose the tariffs on nearly every U.S. trading partner without the approval of Congress. Trump has imposed some additional tariffs under other laws that are not at issue in this case. Based on government data from October to mid-December, those represent about third of the revenue from Trump-imposed tariffs.

IEEPA lets a president regulate commerce in a national emergency. Trump became the first president to use IEEPA to impose tariffs, one of the many ways he has aggressively pushed the boundaries of executive authority since he returned to office in areas as varied as his crackdown on immigration, the firing of federal agency officials, domestic military deployments and military operations overseas.

Trump described the tariffs as vital for U.S. economic security, predicting that the country would be defenseless and ruined without them. Trump in November told reporters that without his tariffs “the rest of the world would laugh at us because they’ve used tariffs against us for years and took advantage of us.” Trump said the United States was abused by other countries including China, the second-largest economy.

U.S. could invoke other legal justifications: Bessent

After the Supreme Court heard arguments in the case in November, Trump said he would consider alternatives if it ruled against him on tariffs, telling reporters that “we’ll have to develop a ‘game two’ plan.”

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and other administration officials said the United States would invoke other legal justifications to retain as many of Trump’s tariffs as possible. Among others, these include a statutory provision that permits tariffs on imported goods that threaten U.S. national security and another that allows retaliatory actions including tariffs against trading partners that the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative determines have used unfair trade practices against American exporters.

None of these alternatives offered the flexibility and blunt-force dynamics that IEEPA provided Trump, and may not be able to replicate the full scope of his tariffs in a timely fashion.

Trump’s ability to impose tariffs instantaneously on any trading partner’s goods under the aegis of some form of declared national emergency raised his leverage over other countries. It brought world leaders scrambling to Washington to secure trade deals that often included pledges of billions of dollars in investments or other offers of enhanced market access for U.S. companies.

But Trump’s use of tariffs as a cudgel in U.S. foreign policy has succeeded in antagonizing numerous countries, including those long considered among the closest U.S. allies.

IEEPA historically had been used for imposing sanctions on enemies or freezing their assets, not to impose tariffs. The law does not specifically mention the word tariffs. Trump’s Justice Department had argued that IEEPA allows tariffs by authorizing the president to “regulate” imports to address emergencies.

Tariffs generated $195 billion

The Congressional Budget Office has estimated that if all current tariffs stay in place, including the IEEPA-based duties, they would generate about $300 billion annually over the next decade.

Total U.S. net customs duty receipts reached a record $195 billion (C$266.8 billion) in fiscal 2025, which ended on September 30, according to U.S. Treasury Department data.

On April 2 on a date Trump labeled “Liberation Day,” the president announced what he called “reciprocal” tariffs on goods imported from most U.S. trading partners, invoking IEEPA to address what he called a national emergency related to U.S. trade deficits, though the United States already had run trade deficits for decades.

In February and March of 2025, Trump invoked IEEPA to impose tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico, citing the trafficking of the often-abused painkiller fentanyl and illicit drugs into the United States as a national emergency.

Trump has wielded his tariffs to extract concessions and renegotiate trade deals, and as a weapon to punish countries that draw his ire on non-trade political matters. These have ranged from Brazil’s prosecution of former president Jair Bolsonaro, India’s purchases of Russian oil that help fund Russia’s war in Ukraine, and an anti-tariffs ad by Canada’s Ontario province.

IEEPA was passed by Congress and signed by Democratic President Jimmy Carter. In passing the measure, Congress placed additional limits on the president’s authority compared to a predecessor law.

The cases on tariffs before the justices involved three lawsuits.

The Washington-based U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit sided with five small businesses that import goods in one challenge, and the states of Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, New York, Oregon and Vermont in another.

Separately, a Washington-based federal judge sided with a family-owned toy company called Learning Resources.

— Additional reporting by David Lawder and John Kruzel. With files from Jonah Grignon and Geralyn Wichers.

The post Trump declares 10 per cent global tariff after Supreme Court decision appeared first on Country Guide.

Shares of General Mills, which left its annual outlook unchanged in December, were down about three per cent in early trading. They have fallen nearly 19 per cent in the last 12 months.

General Mills and other packaged food companies are under pressure as lower-income shoppers, hit hardest by persistent inflation, trade down to value brands and private-label goods. At the same time, the industry is contending with evolving dietary preferences and a growing push toward healthier foods, accelerated by the broader adoption of GLP-1 weight‑loss drugs.

”Cost of living and housing pressures are reshaping spending patterns, and value is a core expectation that is here to stay,” CEO Jeffrey Harmening said at the Consumer Analyst Group of New York (CAGNY) conference on Tuesday.

Companies cut costs, lower forecasts

Executives said the company’s cereal business, its second biggest revenue generator, was under pressure from increased competition from protein offerings at breakfast.

Earlier this month, PepsiCo cut prices on core brands such as Lay’s and Doritos by up to 15 per cent following a consumer backlash against earlier price hikes, while Kraft Heinz last week paused its splitting plans and forecast weak annual earnings after missing quarterly results estimates on tepid demand.

General Mills now expects annual sales to be down 1.5 per cent to two per cent, compared with its previous range of down one per cent to an increase of one per cent.

“The previous forecast for sales to increase as much as one per cent seemed unrealistic to us. So, the updated guidance is more in line with the recent trends at the company. Moreover, the revision puts guidance more in line with the experiences at other food companies such as Kraft Heinz and Conagra,” said senior bond analyst Dave Novosel at GimmeCredit, an independent corporate bond research house.

It also sees annual adjusted operating profit and adjusted earnings per share down 16 per cent to 20 per cent in constant currency, compared with its previous range of down 10 per cent to 15 per cent in constant currency.

— Reporting by Koyena Das in Bengaluru

The post General Mills cuts annual outlook as shoppers seek cheaper options appeared first on Country Guide.